Completed Engineering Society, Politics & Law

Urban Africa Risk Knowledge (Urban ARK)

In plain English

AI plain-English summary

Six cities across sub-Saharan Africa—Dakar, Ibadan, Karonga, Mombasa, Nairobi, and Niamey—will become living laboratories for measuring how disaster risk builds up in fast-growing, data-poor urban areas. This matters because disaster losses in urban Africa are rising sharply as populations swell, assets increase, and local environments become more hazardous, yet systematic data collection is almost non-existent. Without knowing who is vulnerable, to what, and why, efforts to reduce risk remain guesswork. The programme tackles that gap head-on by developing practical tools to monitor everything from everyday hazards to rare catastrophic events, and by uncovering the historical decisions that locked cities into risky development paths. If successful, the research could reshape how city governments, international agencies, and humanitarian organisations plan for floods, fires, disease outbreaks, and conflict-related risks. It would give them evidence-based methods to break cycles of risk accumulation rather than simply responding after disasters strike. The consortium includes ARUP, UN-HABITAT, Save the Children, and International Alert, ensuring findings feed directly into real-world planning and policy.

View original technical description
Urban Africa: Risk and Capacity (Urban ARC) is a three year programme of research and capacity building that aims to reduce disaster risk in urban sub-Saharan Africa by breaking cycles of risk accumulation. The programme aims to do this by building a community of practice including sub-Saharan, African and international researchers and practitioners that can provide a structured assessment of risk accumulation and reduction dynamics. This will require a detailed understanding of risk to women, men and children in a diverse range of urban contexts in low-income countries in Africa, and of how the nature and scale of these risks are changing in the context of urban growth and change, poverty and climate change. The consortium will work: Dakar (Senegal), Ibadan (Nigeria), Karonga (Malawi), Mombasa (Kenya), Nairobi (Kenya) and Niamey (Niger). The cities offer broad regional coverage (three in West Africa, three in East Africa), a range of city population sizes and in-land and coastal locations. ARUP, UN-HABITAT, Save the Children and International Alert are also consortium members providing access to the cutting edge of practitioner science and for this to be shaped through the research process. Urban ARC's research questions are: (1) What is the nature, scale and distribution of risk across the whole spectrum of hazards in urban centres, and what are their inter-linkages? (2) What are the underlying factors driving risk accumulation in the context of urban growth and change, poverty and climate change? (3) What institutional arrangements and good practices in local governance and in urban planning and management are capable of reducing risk and building resilience in this context? These questions respond to what we know about disaster risk in urban sub-Saharan Africa: that vulnerability and loss is under-reported because of a lack of baseline systematic data collection, but that it is growing as urban populations and assets increase and local environments become more hazardous, and that risk and loss is unevenly distributed. In the dynamic and data poor contexts of cities in much of sub-Saharan Africa it is important to demonstrate a range of potential methodologies to open new possibilities for monitoring risk that can cover everyday, public health through to small and rare, catastrophic events. At the same time the varied decision-making cultures in this region make it important to uncover the historical pathways and decision-points that have determined city form and function, local and city wide capacity and ultimately generated trajectories for risk accumulation or reduction. Urban ARCs work programmes (WP) provide a structured way through these challenges: WP1 develops four distinct vulnerability, capacity and loss assessment tools with additional work focusing on interactions between violence and conflict with disaster risk in the city to stimulate critical comparative analysis of risk monitoring and assessment tools that are appropriate for the capacities and needs of urban sub-Saharan Africa. WP2 brings physical science and its modelling skills to examine multi-hazard and climate change impacts on urban planning, and to work with urban planners to improve science policy communication. WP3 takes a broad view of urban governance, focusing on historical trajectories in urban development and disaster risk management to uncover underlying root causes that need to be discussed and considered before contemporary development paths can avoid reproducing new risk. WP4 brings this learning together with an action research agenda to work with key actors to better understand and help inform contemporary decision-making and planning for the future. Future planning is core to our mission with two dedicated PhD students, training workshops and visiting fellows as well as an Open Science conference to foster early career researchers in this rapidly growing policy area.

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Researchers

Adriana Allen (Co-Investigator)Blessing Meru (Co-Investigator)Bruce Malamud (Co-Investigator)Caren Levy (Co-Investigator)Cassidy Johnson (Co-Investigator)David Dodman (Co-Investigator)David Satterthwaite (Co-Investigator)Ibidun Adelekan (Co-Investigator)James Millington (Co-Investigator)Mark Pelling (Principal Investigator)Mtafu Manda (Co-Investigator)Susan Parnell (Co-Investigator)

Related Research

Grants with similar aims, by meaning.

Foundations for climate resilient and sustainable growing settlements (U-RES)
GCRF: Building capacity for the future city in developing countries (PEAK)
ARUA-CD: Building African Capacity for Climate and Development Challenges
African Research Network for Urbanization and Habitable Cities
Building resilience and inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa through social learning around climate risks

Original classification

Research Grant

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