Recipient organisationNewcastle UniversitySource-published name: Newcastle University
Funding£185K
PeriodAug 2025 — Jan 2027
In plain English
AI plain-English summary
Only 30% of lab-grown cow embryos survive to birth, and no one knows why. This project tackles a hidden crisis in dairy farming: fertility rates have dropped from over 50% in the 1980s to below 40% today, costing the UK dairy industry roughly £500 million annually. The core problem is that farmers rely on subjective visual grading to pick which embryos to transfer, missing the molecular markers that actually predict viability. The researchers will combine two imaging technologies—one that maps protein chemistry inside cells, another that reveals cellular ultrastructure—and build machine learning tools to integrate that data. They will test the approach on cells biopsied from embryos, linking protein composition to whether an embryo later develops successfully. If the proof-of-concept succeeds, it could replace guesswork with data-driven embryo selection. That would reduce the number of cows needed to produce replacements, improve animal welfare, and lower greenhouse gas emissions from the dairy sector. The work is fundamental science—developing analytical methods for complex imaging data—but it directly targets a practical bottleneck in sustainable livestock production.
View original technical description
Poor fertility is a worldwide problem and probably the most economically important animal health issue. The UK dairy industry alone suffers annual losses of ~500M (Dairy Board–2019). Fertility problems in cattle are escalating. First service conception rates are currently less than 40% compared to over 50% in the 1980s. A direct effect of subfertility is that many more animals are required to generate replacements. This drives down welfare (fewer resources per animal) and increases emissions (~11-19% of green-house emissions are produced by farm animals - largely by cows). To mitigate these challenges, in-vitro embryo production (IVEP) is a critical tool. Through IVEP we also have a remarkable opportunity to accelerate adaptations to increasingly widespread environmental challenges (for example prioritising heat tolerant genetics), reducing stress on animals while improving overall farm resilience. However, despite it’s potential, IVEP pregnancy success rates do not outperform natural pregnancy, ~30% of embryos are simply inherently unable to develop to term for unknown reasons. This is exacerbated by reliance on subjective grading systems to select embryos for transfer. We fail to capture critical biomarkers of competency, presenting an urgent problem for sustainable farming. Our goal is to directly address this, producing a data-driven alternative -computational tools that enable better understanding of bovine embryonic development, and predict an embryo's potential to produce a healthy pregnancy. This minimises losses with multiple, positive, knock-on impacts. To achieve this, we propose to develop an analytical framework combining two cutting edge imagine technologies -Imaging Mass Cytometry (to report protein biochemistry in cells) and 3D-Correlative Light Electron Microscopy (to report the ultrastructure of cells), along with bespoke machine learning tools. This approach will integrate multidimensional data—protein composition, ultrastructure, spatial organisation, and temporal dynamics. Applying this framework to bovine embryos will allow us to model embryonic development and predict developmental potential with unprecedented accuracy. This solution perfectly aligns with embryo biopsy techniques, where cells can be removed with no deleterious effect to the embryo. Biopsied cells are highly likely to contain information able to predict competency before embryos need to be selected for transfer. We will capture biopsied cells by our imaging methods and relate findings to an embryo outcome that indicates competency versus non-competency. However, to prove feasibility, we must develop state-of-the-art approaches to analyse these complex imaging data sets. Data is multi-dimensional and multi-modal, and while individual analytical solutions exist for certain elements of the analysis pipeline, it is the integration of these data types that presents a substantial challenge. Therefore, our immediate aims are to develop proof-of-concept machine learning approaches capable of: Mapping changes in protein content and ultrastructure across development in healthy and unhealthy embryos. Using positive and negative embryo outcome related to prior protein composition to predict competency. In mouse, we have de-risked experiments necessary to provide the data feed to develop computational tools and we have substantial team experience developing algorithms for imaging data processing. The success of these proof-of-concept approaches will position us for longer follow-on grants, delivering on each algorithm, enabling their full application.
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