Every cell in the body runs on an internal clock that governs when it divides, rests, or dies—but scientists have been measuring that clock with flawed tools. The problem is that existing methods for tracking cell cycle phases systematically miss certain cell types or rely on incorrect mathematical assumptions, leading to distorted results. This project will correct those errors by building a rigorous mathematical framework and an open-source software package that can accurately extract cell cycle times from live-imaging data, using the team’s advanced Qucci biosensor. If successful, the tools will give biologists a reliable way to measure how fast different cells divide—critical for understanding why cancer cells proliferate uncontrollably, how immune cells respond to infection, or how stem cells regenerate tissue. The software is designed for non-specialists, meaning labs worldwide could adopt it without needing a mathematician on staff. This is primarily fundamental science: it fixes a hidden but pervasive measurement error that has likely skewed decades of cell biology data. Past corrections of similar methodological flaws have reshaped entire fields, and this one could do the same for any research that depends on knowing how cells behave over time.
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Characterising cell cycle dynamics is fundamental to our understanding of biology including in cancer, immunology, developmental biology, toxicology, within-host infectious disease dynamics, ageing science and tissue engineering. In the past decade, genetically encoded cell cycle probes have revolutionised proliferation assays in cells and model organisms - allowing live imaging of cell cycle dynamics. RLM’s group previously developed two widely adopted biosensor systems based around Fucci (Fluorescent Ubiquitination-based Cell Cycle Indicator). We have now developed the most sophisticated probeset to date (Quiescence ubiquitination based cell cycle indicator - Qucci) allowing the discrimination of G0, G1, S and G2/M cell cycle phases in cells and mice. However, the impact of these models is hindered because no unbiased mathematically sound methodology exists to extract cell cycle phase lengths, cell cycle times or their distributions from a population of cells using any existing assay. Existing methods of cell cycle analysis rely on either: 1) live imaging of complete cell cycles or the transitions between cell cycle phases; 2) quantification of cell numbers over time to calculate a doubling time or; 3) derivation of the cell cycle time by pulse labelling of S-phase to calculate its length followed by upscaling to the entire cell cycle (classical Thymidine analogue studies). We have implemented method 1 and 2 and extended method 3 to Fucci/Qucci based live imaging data and performed extensive mathematical modelling. Our modelling reveals that; method (1) suffers from both spatial and temporal censoring (unintentional exclusion of some cell subpopulations with particular characteristics). For example, in populations of moving cells, subpopulations with longer cycle times are less likely to remain in the field of view and divide during the imaging period; method (2) suffers from incorrect assumptions on the distribution of cell cycle lengths. Our modelling has shown that populations of cells simulated with the correct distribution will grow more slowly than those with an assumed underlying exponentially distributed cell cycle time but with the same mean. Consequently, this will lead to mischaracterisations when cell cycle parameters are inferred from growth curves; method (3) is flawed because it employs the assumption that the number of cells in each cell cycle phase should be proportional to the length of that phase, which our modelling and experiments have revealed to be incorrect. We now understand the functional form of the underlying distribution of cell cycle times, which will allow us to correct both for spatial and temporal censoring bias and to account for the non-uniformity in the distribution of cells throughout the cell cycle. In this project we will develop the mathematical framework required to correctly calculate both inter-division times and the times of different phases of the cell cycle using any one of these methods. With a focus on live imaging methods, including Fucci/Qucci, we will deliver an open source software package for Imagej/Fiji designed for non-specialist end users. Our software will incorporate pre-trained neural networks able to classify the cell cycle phases and to automatically extract cell inter-division/cell phase times from time-lapse data generated from legacy Fucci models and Qucci. Using our mathematical framework, the tools we develop will be able to characterise cell cycle times and distributions for a given dataset. Delivering these analysis tools with the ‘gold standard’ Qucci models will have a transformative impact on the biosciences.
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