Completed Lungs & Breathing Public Health & Healthcare

COvid-19 Transmission Risk Assessment Case Studies - education Establishments

In plain English

AI plain-English summary

As schools reopen in September, researchers will measure carbon dioxide levels in classrooms to track how much exhaled air—and potentially infectious virus—students and teachers are breathing back in. This matters because airborne transmission of COVID-19 is now recognised as a major route of infection, but schools lack clear, evidence-based guidance on ventilation. The problem becomes urgent as cooler weather arrives: keeping windows open for fresh air conflicts with heating costs and comfort. Current monitoring in schools relies on single-point CO2 measurements that cannot capture how air actually moves through a room, influenced by open windows, body heat, and people walking around. The project will combine field studies in primary and secondary schools with laboratory experiments and computer simulations to map airflow patterns and calculate absolute infection risk. It will test specific mitigation measures—changing ventilation rates, rearranging desks, adding screens, and adjusting occupancy. If successful, the work will produce practical, evidence-based ventilation guidance for schools and a methodology that can be applied to offices, restaurants, and shops. The immediate impact is on public health policy and building management during the pandemic, not on fundamental science.

View original technical description
Schools are planning to re-open in September and with the recent increased awareness of airborne transmission of Covid-19, there is an urgent need to monitor the situation and to provide guidance on ventilation best practice. This is emphasised by the expected onset of cooler weather when there will be a conflict between maintaining high fresh air ventilation flows and energy consumption and occupant comfort. We will quantify the risk of airborne COVID-19 transmission in schools and evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation measures, by developing techniques to assess the absolute risk of infection in a given indoor space, using field studies in primary and secondary schools, complemented by laboratory experiments and CFD to elucidate the flow patterns responsible for airborne transport. The understanding generated will underpin recent developments in infection modelling to predict the likelihood of airborne transmission within schools. The project will reduce the uncertainties associated with airborne transmission routes and provide evidence to evaluate mitigation measures. The scenarios we will investigate include changes to ventilation, use of screens, classroom lay-out and occupancy profiles. The methodology will facilitate application to offices, restaurants, shops etc. Airborne infection occurs through re-breathed air, the concentration of which can be directly inferred from measurements of CO2. Indoor flow is strongly affected by the locations of windows or vents, the heat rising from occupants/equipment and disturbances caused by people movement. Thus, accurate representations of these processes in the laboratory and CFD are needed to interpret the monitoring data currently collected in schools, which are typically single point measurements.

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Researchers

Christopher Pain (Co-Investigator)Henry Burridge (Co-Investigator)Paul Linden (Principal Investigator)Prashant Kumar (Co-Investigator)

Related Research

Grants with similar aims, by meaning.

Creating Safer Indoor Environments
Identifying the key factors of indoor air quality in UK classrooms: A data-driven study
Modelling airborne infection risk in urban environments
Transient models to assess transmission and control of airborne infection risks in a respiratory ward
Development of Analytical Models for Hybrid Ventilation Systems

Original classification

Research Grant

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