Endogenous Lying in Economic Environments
In plain English
AI plain-English summaryPeople who lie become desensitised to it, and this project builds economic models to capture how that psychological shift plays out in workplaces, tax systems, and insurance markets. Standard economic theory assumes people lie whenever it benefits them. In reality, lying carries costs—the mental effort of fabricating information, the guilt, and the risk of being caught. This project addresses a gap: how those costs change over time. A manager who fudges a report may find it easier to lie again, and a taxpayer who cheats once may feel less compunction the next year. The researchers will develop mathematical models of dynamic relationships—employer-employee contracts, tax audits, insurance claims, regulatory inspections—where past lies lower the psychological cost of future lies. They will also model monitoring as an active, strategic game: an auditor who varies inspection patterns can alter the liar’s perceived risk. This is fundamental theoretical work. It will not produce a policy toolkit tomorrow. But understanding how lying costs evolve could eventually inform better contract design, more effective audit strategies, and regulatory frameworks that account for human psychology rather than assuming perfect dishonesty. Similar theoretical advances in information economics have reshaped how auctions, labour markets, and public policy are designed.
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