Completed Heart, Stroke & Blood Brain & Nervous System

Vascular disease meta analyses

In plain English

AI plain-English summary

A single patient’s medical records, combined with thousands of others from multiple trials, are being re-analysed to settle long-running disputes about common heart and stroke treatments. The problem is that individual clinical trials are often too small to detect rare side effects or to show whether a drug works differently in men versus women, older versus younger patients, or those with other health conditions. Standard meta-analyses, which pool only the published summaries from each trial, miss this detail. This research group instead obtains the raw, individual-level data from every participant in every relevant trial—a far more labour-intensive approach—and then re-analyses the combined dataset to answer questions that single trials cannot. If successful, this work could settle unresolved safety questions that affect millions of people. For example, it will clarify whether statins actually cause muscle pain (a common reason patients stop taking them), whether the clot-busting drug alteplase benefits specific stroke patients more than others, and whether low-dose aspirin is worth the bleeding risk for healthy people considering it for prevention. It will also determine whether angiotensin-receptor blockers slow aortic enlargement in Marfan syndrome, potentially changing surgical timing for patients with that condition. The results will directly inform prescribing guidelines and clinical decisions worldwide.

View original technical description
Many medical questions about the efficacy and safety of specific treatments cannot be addressed by looking at the results of a single randomized trial, and instead depend on combining the results of many trials that have studied that question. The combination of data from many trials is achieved through the use of meta-analysis. Such meta-analyses are typically done by combining the summary results from each trial in order to achieve an overall summary of the effects of a treatment. Our group specialises, however, in obtaining detailed and complete data from each individual participant included in each of the relevant trials, and then analysing the resulting dataset (which is generally very large) to obtain more comprehensive analyses of how treatment efficacy and safety varies in different clinical circumstances. We are now using this method to study the effects of: statin therapy on various conditions (such as muscle pain) that have been linked to treatment (but where the link is unproven); alteplase (a ‘clot-busting’ drug) after stroke; low-dose aspirin to prevent a first heart attack or stroke in apparently healthy people, and angiotensin-receptor blockers in Marfan Syndrome (a condition that causes the main artery leaving the heart to expand dangerously).

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Researchers

Colin Baigent (Principal Investigator)

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Original classification

Intramural

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