Around one in five patients hospitalised with COVID-19 develops scarring or inflammation deep in the lungs, a condition called interstitial lung disease (ILD) that can cause permanent breathing problems. The UKILD-Long COVID study aims to find out exactly how many survivors are affected, whether the damage is mainly inflammation or irreversible scarring, and whether it gets better or worse over the year after discharge. This matters because the scale of the pandemic means even a modest percentage of affected patients translates into tens of thousands of people at risk of long-term disability. Current estimates suggest 40–60% of discharged patients suffer ongoing symptoms, but the underlying lung damage has not been systematically measured. Without this knowledge, doctors cannot predict who will deteriorate or test treatments to prevent scarring. If the research succeeds, it could change how clinicians monitor and treat COVID-19 survivors. Using advanced imaging (xenon MRI) and cell analysis from lung fluid, the team will identify blood markers and genes that raise the risk of severe scarring. That would allow early intervention—potentially with anti-inflammatory or anti-fibrotic drugs—to halt progression before disability sets in. The findings could also inform follow-up protocols for the hundreds of thousands of UK patients hospitalised with COVID pneumonitis.
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Many recovering COVID-19 patients suffer from long term symptoms, including breathlessness and fatigue, so-called "Long COVID". Recent data suggest that between 10-20% of patients who do not go into hospital and 40-60% of people discharged from hospital suffer from symptoms of Long COVID. The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a huge number of infected people throughout the world with a substantial number requiring hospital-based care. In the UK alone, there have been over 3.5 million people known to be infected of whom more than 350,000 people were hospitalised, with over 25,000 admitted to intensive care units. The commonest reason for hospital admission is COVID pneumonitis. If this progresses to Adult Respiratory Distress Syndrome, patients may be admitted to Intensive Care Wards , where they could be placed on a ventilator to support them through their illness. Recent analysis indicates that inflammatory and scarring lung diseases (known as Interstitial Lung diseases - ILD) are a major complication of COVID pneumonitis and occur in approximately 20% of patients discharged from hospital. The figure is thought to be even higher in patients discharged from Intensive Care Units. Although the exact number of people affected is not yet known, there is an urgent need to identify and prevent the development of this potential severe complication, which can lead to irreversible scarring. Therefore, to improve outcomes for survivors of COVID pneumonitis we will undertake a clinical study to identify how many people develop ILD following COVID-19, what types of ILD they develop (is it predominantly inflammation or scarring) and why they do so. We will ask patients with possible ILD if they would be willing to have a CT scan to confirm whether they have this disease. If they do, we will invite these patients to undergo investigations using a range of new technologies. These will include Xenon Magnetic Resonance Imaging to get more detailed analysis of the changes in the function of different parts of the lung and Bronchoalveolar Lavage to analyse cells from the lung to understand whether the severity of COVID-19 or its treatments make a difference to the development of ILDs. We will identify whether COVID-19 leads primarily to either inflammatory or scarring disease and whether this disease gets better or worse in the year after they are discharged from hospital. Finally, we will try to understand why some patients get severe lung disease following COVID-19, and others don't, and identify blood markers and genes that increase the risk of developing long-term scarring, so that we can determine how to treat patients and prevent the development of substantial scarring. Understanding these questions will help us to develop treatment strategies to prevent the development of severe scarring and disability following COVID-19 infection.
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