Completed Mathematics & Statistics Climate, Earth & Environment

Yr2 Underspend: Interaction of Convective Organization and Monsoon Precipitation, Atmosphere, Surface and Sea

In plain English

AI plain-English summary

The monsoon supplies the majority of South Asia's water, yet forecasters still cannot reliably predict its daily downpours or seasonal shifts. A large collaboration between Indian and UK scientists aims to fix this by flying the UK's FAAM research aircraft through monsoon clouds while Indian teams take ground-based measurements. The core problem is a lack of observations—current models have little real data to work with, especially over the ocean and in the atmosphere above India. The project will use these new measurements to build an Indo-UK forecasting model that works down to scales of 100 metres, far finer than today's models. If successful, the research could transform how farmers, water managers, and disaster planners prepare for monsoon floods and droughts across a region where hundreds of millions depend on the rains for their livelihoods. The work is applied, not fundamental: it targets a specific operational gap in weather prediction, with the explicit goal of improving forecasts from days to seasons ahead.

View original technical description
The monsoon supplies the majority of water in South Asia. This project is a large collaboration between leading Indian and UK scientists, which aims to make substantial improvements to the forecasting of the monsoon from days to the season ahead. A significant obstacle to making improvements is the lack of observations of the monsoon and so the project will involve the UK's FAAM large atmospheric research aircraft operating alongside a comprehensive programme of Indian measurements made form the ground. The project will lead to a new Indo-UK forecasting model applicable down to scales of 100m over India.

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Researchers

Rowan Sutton (Co-Investigator)Stephen Mobbs (Principal Investigator)

Related Research

Grants with similar aims, by meaning.

Interaction of Convective Organization and Monsoon Precipitation, Atmosphere, Surface and Sea (INCOMPASS)
MITRE: Mesoscale convective systems over India, Tracking, Research, and Experimentation
The future of the Indian monsoon
South Asian Precipitation: A Seamless Assessment: SAPRISE
South Asian PRecIpitation: a SEamless Assessment - SAPRISE

Original classification

Research Grant

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