Active Clean Energy Lungs & Breathing

Modeling the health benefits of state-specific zero-emissions appliance standards in the United States

In plain English

AI plain-English summary

In several US states, policymakers are considering regulations that would force households to swap gas stoves and furnaces for electric appliances to cut both climate emissions and local air pollution. This project will model the health benefits of those proposed rules before they are finalised. The gap is practical: state regulators need credible, localised numbers on how many asthma attacks, heart attacks, or premature deaths would be avoided if combustion appliances were phased out. Without that evidence, policy debates stay abstract. The researchers will use a “regulatory grade” air-quality and health-impact platform—the same tool the US Environmental Protection Agency trusts for federal rulemaking—to produce high-resolution estimates for priority states. If the modelling succeeds, state air agencies and public-health officials will have concrete, defensible data to include in policy proposals and public comment dockets. That could accelerate adoption of zero-emission appliance standards, directly reducing the nitrogen dioxide and particulate matter that leak from gas burners indoors and out. The work does not invent new science; it applies established atmospheric and health models to a live regulatory window, giving decision-makers numbers they can use now.

View original technical description
Some states in the United States are pursuing policies that would require that household appliances have low to zero NOx emissions. Effectively, this would amount to regulations requiring that buildings have electric appliances rather than combustion appliances. These policies are being explored as ways to meet greenhouse gas reduction commitments and as ways to reduce air pollution. Here, we propose to use a novel atmospheric modeling and health impact platform to model potential health benefits of these policies, and then use this platform to support regulations in select states in the United States where these policies are being considered. Specifically, we will identify priority states with live policy opportunities and necessary data, develop potential policy proposals that could be implemented in these states, and model the air quality and health benefits of these policies at high- resolution, using a "regulatory grade" air pollution and health benefit modeling platform that is commonly used and trusted by state and federal policymakers in the U.S. We will then share results with key stakeholders in the priority states, including air agencies, policy public comment dockets, and other policy stakeholders, along with the public and media.

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Researchers

Brady Seals (EPMC Awardee)Jonathan Buonocore (EPMC Awardee)Leah Louis-Prescott (EPMC Awardee)Sarav Arunachalam (EPMC Awardee)

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Original classification

Directed Call

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