Climate Attribution of Wildfire Smoke Impacts on Priority Population Health in Southeast Asia and Australia (CANBREATHE)
In plain English
AI plain-English summaryWildfire smoke from climate-driven fires in Southeast Asia and Australia is already killing people—around 100,000 excess deaths from Indonesia’s 2015 fires, and 417 from Australia’s 2019/20 Black Summer fires. Current health impact estimates do not pin down how much of that harm is specifically caused by climate change, nor do they focus on the most vulnerable groups: Indigenous people, pregnant women, and children. This project fills that gap by using climate attribution modelling and storylines to calculate how climate change alters the risk, intensity, and duration of extreme wildfires and the smoke exposure that follows. If successful, the research will give policymakers in Thailand, Laos, Indonesia, and Australia a concrete, evidence-based tool to link climate action directly to human health outcomes. The project also co-designs communication tools with Indigenous communities, citizen scientists, and artists—blending climate data, health impact figures, and local lived experience. This could shift how governments prioritise wildfire prevention, air quality warnings, and healthcare planning for sensitive populations, making climate adaptation efforts more targeted and accountable.
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