Active Public Health & Healthcare Education & Skills

Not enough and too many: professional personhood among Africa's paradoxically surplus health workers

In plain English

AI plain-English summary

Africa faces a stark contradiction: a projected shortage of 6.1 million health workers by 2030, while roughly 700,000 trained health workers on the continent are unemployed. This "paradoxical surplus" will soon represent nearly a quarter of Africa’s health workforce. This matters because the problem is not simply a lack of trained people—it is a failure to employ them. Current global health narratives focus on shortages, ignoring the thousands of doctors, nurses, and midwives who cannot find formal work. This research asks why this surplus exists, what it means for individuals and health systems, and how to fix it. The team will study Uganda, Nigeria, and Zambia, combining anthropology and public health to examine how unemployment and precarious work affect health workers’ lives and livelihoods, and how informal healthcare markets absorb them. If successful, this work could shift global health policy to treat unemployed health workers as a critical resource rather than an invisible problem. It aims to build collaborations between academics, policymakers, and activists to integrate this surplus into formal health systems—potentially strengthening primary care, reducing reliance on foreign recruitment, and stabilising health services across the continent.

View original technical description
By 2030, it is anticipated that Africa will face a shortage of nearly 6.1 million health workers. Simultaneously, approximately 700,000 health workers on the continent are expected to be without formal employment. Under current projections, this paradoxical surplus of health workers will comprise almost a quarter of Africa’s health workforce. "Not Enough and Too Many" is a bold mixed-methods study across West, East and Southern Africa. It asks: what are the global, national and local contingencies that have led to this paradoxical surplus; what are the consequences for individuals and services; and how can we enable the incorporation of this surplus into health systems? Drawing together scholars and methods from anthropology and public health, we will explore how unemployment, underemployment and precarious employment among health workers intersects with personhood and socio-economic relations; map the informal livelihood opportunities offered by pluralistic health systems; and examine the political economy underpinning policy on health worker employment in Uganda, Nigeria and Zambia. Our ultimate goals are to change narratives so that the paradoxical surplus of health workers takes its place as a critical issue in global health, and to support collaborations between academics, policy-makers, activists and health workers to reverse the trend.

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Researchers

Freddy Kitutu (EPMC Awardee)

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Original classification

Discovery Award

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