Associating wildlife host traits with virus diversity across taxa and environments
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AI plain-English summaryNot all wildlife species are equally likely to spark the next pandemic, but scientists lack a reliable way to tell which ones pose the greatest risk. Current efforts to link animal traits—such as lifespan or social behaviour—to the number of viruses they carry are skewed by sampling bias: researchers have tested common, accessible species far more thoroughly than rare or elusive ones. This project will correct that distortion. The team will first reanalyse published virus–host data using actual sampling effort from each study, rather than simple study counts. They will then run public metagenomic data through a virus-discovery pipeline to get a less biased picture of which viruses are truly present. Finally, they will sample rodent communities across a gradient of land use—from intact forest to farmland—to see how virus diversity and cross-species transmission change with environmental disturbance. If successful, this work will produce a rigorous, evidence-based framework for predicting which wildlife species are most likely to harbour and share viruses with pandemic potential. That could help public health agencies prioritise surveillance and target interventions before spillover occurs, rather than reacting after the fact.
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