Completed Society, Politics & Law Diabetes, Hormones & Metabolism

What’s at stake in the fake? Indian pharmaceuticals, African markets and global health

In plain English

AI plain-English summary

A widely repeated claim—that fake drugs from India are poisoning African patients—turns out to rest on surprisingly shaky evidence. Global health campaigns and policy documents have spent decades warning that counterfeit pharmaceuticals pose a growing threat, often pointing fingers at specific countries and populations. But when researchers scrutinised the scientific, policy and popular literature behind these alarms, they found a striking mismatch: the strength of the claims far exceeds the strength of the evidence. Basic questions remain unanswered—what exactly counts as a fake drug, whether all fakes are dangerous, and where they actually originate. This project uses historical and ethnographic methods to ask why “fake-talk” has become so widespread and urgent, and what its real-world effects are. If the research succeeds, it could reshape how governments and global health agencies allocate scarce resources for drug safety. Instead of pouring money into poorly evidenced crackdowns, regulators might focus on genuine supply-chain vulnerabilities. The work is primarily fundamental social science—it asks how a problem gets defined and amplified, not how to solve it pharmacologically. But understanding the social dynamics behind a global health panic can be as consequential as understanding the chemistry of the pills themselves.

View original technical description
For the past several decades, global health researchers and policy-makers have raised the alarm about the growing threat that fake pharmaceuticals pose to global health. Often these concerns are framed in terms of particular places and people, for example, fake drugs from India imperil Africans’ health. We subjected these high-profile and oft-repeated claims to scrutiny. This exercise produced some unexpected findings. Across scientific, policy and popular literature, we found substantial misalignments between (1) the strength of claims about fakes alongside (2) the relative weakness of these claims’ evidence. Scientific literature in particular raised questions about apparent certainties, such as: What, exactly, are fake drugs? Are fake drugs necessarily dangerous? Where do they come from? When the global supply of life-saving medicines is beset by worries about safety, governments and citizens face difficult decisions about how to allocate scarce resources. By asking questions about these worries, we hypothesize that the problem of fake drugs is not solely a pharmacological problem; it is also a social problem. Two questions guide our project’s historical and ethnographic research 1. What accounts for the rise of fake-talk—the wide-spread and urgently-reiterated set of concerns about the dangers that fake drugs present? 2. What are the effects of fake-talk?

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Researchers

Julia Hornberger (EPMC Awardee)Rene Gerrets (EPMC Awardee)Sarah Hodges (EPMC Awardee)

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Original classification

Collaborative Award in H&SS

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