Millions of people in England take antidepressants for years, even though there is no solid evidence that long-term use actually prevents depression from coming back. This matters because over 53 million antidepressant prescriptions were issued in England in 2013, many for repeat use. Current guidelines recommend maintenance treatment for up to two years for people at risk of relapse, but that recommendation rests on no direct evidence. Surveys suggest that between 5% and 8% of the UK population take antidepressants, and up to half of them are on long-term treatment with relatively few symptoms. The study will test whether continuing antidepressants for more than nine months is better than a placebo at preventing relapse in people who feel well enough to stop. If the research shows that long-term maintenance is no more effective than placebo, it could change prescribing practice for hundreds of thousands of patients, reducing unnecessary medication and freeing up NHS resources. If it proves effective, it will provide the first solid evidence to support current guidelines. Either way, the trial will give GPs and patients a clear, evidence-based answer about whether to continue or stop long-term antidepressant use.
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There were over 53m prescriptions of antidepressants issued in primary care in England in 2013 and many of these were for repeat prescriptions. Antidepressants are used both for treating the acute episode and for prophylaxis of future episodes of depression, also called maintenance treatment. There is good evidence that maintenance treatment that lasts 9 months is effective. However, there is still uncertainty about long term maintenance treatment. NICE recommends that some people “at risk of relapse” should stay on maintenance antidepressants for 2 years but as the NICE guideline recognised there is currently no evidence to support this policy. Surveys of the general population and in general practice indicate that there are large numbers of patients taking antidepressants in the UK, somewhere between 5% and 8% and up to half of these will be taking them long term and half of them will have relatively few symptoms. There are therefore a substantial proportion of people taking long term maintenance treatment even though there is little evidence for its effectiveness. The proposed study will provide a valid and generalizable estimate of the clinical and cost-effectiveness of long term maintenance treatment with antidepressants in UK primary care. The relevant population is those people who are taking long term maintenance antidepressants and now feel well enough to consider stopping medication. RESEARCH QUESTION “What is the clinical and cost-effectiveness in UK primary care of continuing on long term maintenance antidepressants compared to a placebo in preventing relapse of depression in those who have taken antidepressants for more than 9 months and who are now well enough to consider stopping maintenance treatment?” We propose to identify people in primary care who are on long term antidepressant medication by asking general practitioners to search their electronic patient records. We will include people taking four antidepressants (citalopram, sertraline, fluoxetine and mirtazapine) that between them comprise 75% of all antidepressant prescriptions. We will carry out an individually randomised parallel group controlled trial that will compare (1) continuing with the following antidepressant medication (citalopram 20mg, sertraline 100mg, fluoxetine 20mg or mirtazapine 30mg) with (2) replacement of the medication with an identical placebo that will include a double blind tapering period. We will follow up participants for 12 months as previous research has indicated that the increase in relapse rate occurs within 6 months of medication withdrawal. Our primary outcome will be time to depressive relapse. Secondary outcomes will include depressive and anxiety symptoms, adverse effects including withdrawal symptoms, quality of life and the resources and costs used.
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