Recipient organisationUniversity of ReadingSource-published name: University of Reading
Funding£497K
PeriodJun 2025 — Jun 2028
In plain English
AI plain-English summary
Tree rings are revealing whether the Sun’s magnetic cycle—the engine behind space weather and climate influences—once operated differently than it does today. Direct observations of the Sun’s magnetic activity are too short to capture its long-term behaviour. Sunspot records go back only a few hundred years and offer only qualitative information, leaving a critical gap: we know little about the solar cycle during the last “grand minima” of activity around 1650-1700, when sunspots largely vanished. This project fills that gap by using carbon-14 in tree trunks, which records the Sun’s magnetic field over thousands of years. Until now, such measurements had low time resolution and could not identify individual solar cycles. New techniques allow annual-resolution carbon-14 data, but existing reconstruction methods cannot handle them. The researchers propose a physics-based approach—replacing statistical relationships with models of how the Sun’s dynamo works—to convert these annual carbon-14 measurements into the physical properties of the Sun’s magnetic field. If successful, this will reveal whether the solar cycle persisted through past grand minima and whether such behaviour would be visible on other stars. The work is fundamental science: it aims to understand the Sun’s magnetic engine, not to produce an immediate practical application. However, a deeper grasp of long-term solar variability could eventually improve predictions of space weather and its effects on satellites, power grids, and communications—systems that quietly keep modern society running.
View original technical description
The Sun is an active magnetic star, varying on every observable time scale, from seconds to millennia. Reconstructing the Sun’s past activity is critical to understanding both the Sun’s influence on terrestrial climate and how space weather may behave in the future. Solar reconstructions also provide much-needed information about how the churning motions inside the Sun act as a dynamo to generate its magnetic field. This dynamo gives rise to the approximately 11-year solar cycle, as well as much longer patterns of variability, over hundreds and thousands of years. Understanding these processes at the Sun provides our best opportunity for deciphering magnetic cycles on other stars. Unfortunately, the very long timescales involved in solar variability mean that direct solar observations are too short; even sunspot records – which provide only qualitative information about the magnetic field -- extend back only a few hundred years. Crucially, they provide little insight about the solar cycle during the last “grand minima” of activity around 1650-1700: sunspots vanished for much of this interval, but computer simulations and auroral reports hint that the solar cycle continued throughout. Fortunately, carbon-14 (14C) in tree trunks contains information about the Sun’s magnetic field back thousands of years. This is because 14C only exists on Earth due to nuclear reactions between atmospheric molecules and “cosmic rays” – energetic particles from outside the solar system. The stronger the Sun’s magnetic field, the fewer cosmic rays reach Earth and the less 14C is produced. On this basis, variations in the solar magnetic field have been successfully reconstructed, but only at low time resolution (every 10-50 years) which is incapable of identifying individual solar cycles. Recently, new techniques have allowed 14C to be measured at annual resolution, potentially allowing the solar cycle to be reconstructed back more than a thousand years for the first time. However, the current reconstruction methods are not suitable for use with these new data. We are proposing a completely new approach to converting 14C measurements to the physical properties of the Sun’s magnetic field, using physics-based models rather than statistical relationships that are invalid for the new data. In this way, we will determine whether the Sun behaved differently in the past to the last few hundred years. We will also assess whether such behaviour would be visible on other stars and determine what this means for our own star over the coming decades.
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